Economic Outlook

Economic Outlook Analysis


2018 3rd Quarter Economic Outlook

This outlook analyzes the key components of our economy (GDP, inflation, interest rates, and the consumer), and briefly reviews the global economy.

  • Tues Sep 25 2018
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  • Dan Hassey

2018 2nd Quarter Economic Outlook

There are many cross currents in the market, most of these cross currents emanate from the economy and they are analyzed here.

  • Thur May 31 2018
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  • Dan Hassey

2018 Economic Outlook

Economists and their forecasts are notorious for not forecasting important turning points in the economy and financial markets, especially at the end of a cycle.

  • Mon Jan 08 2018
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  • Eddie Rocha

2017 3rd Quarter Economic Outlook

I’m often asked what indicators I analyze when I invest. I do have indicators that I look at for the economy. For investing, I use the valuations and the fundamentals of a company, and technical analysis to help determine entry and exit points.

  • Fri Jan 05 2018
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  • Eddie Rocha

Trumponomics Summary and Conclusion

This is the final research report on Trumponomics. All together there are six parts including this report.

  • Wed Nov 08 2017
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  • Eddie Rocha

Trumponomics Part 4 Deregulation

President Trump believes that deregulation, lower taxes, and infrastructure spending will help the economy grow faster, and his economic agenda could help create millions of high paying jobs for his supporters.

  • Thu Jul 06 2017
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  • Eddie Rocha

Trumponomics Part 3

Infrastructure spending could be the most important economic effort the Trump administration pursues.

  • Wed May 24 2017
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  • Eddie Rocha

Trumponomics Part 2, Tax Reform

Trumponomics Part 2 will analyze President Trump’s tax proposals. We don’t know what will be passed or when.

  • Sun May 07 2017
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  • Eddie Rocha

Trumponomics Part 1

Most investors are not looking at the bearish case of these policies. I will write more about the bearish case as the bullish case is more than reflected in the markets.

  • Sun Apr 02 2017
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  • Eddie Rocha

The “New Normal” and Trumponomics

Several years ago I issued a Special Report on the “New Normal”. I update that report to remind investors the headwinds that face this economy and the new administration. Below is an update of the “New Normal”.

  • Fri Feb 24 2017
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  • Eddie Rocha

2017 Economic Outlook

The forecasts, estimates below are a consolidation from 2017 outlooks from Barron’s, WSJ, Fortune, BusinessWeek, CNBC, Wells Fargo, Charles Schwab, Merrill Lynch and our analysis of economic, business, and investment trends.

  • Mon Jan 23 2017
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  • Eddie Rocha

December Economic & Market Outlook

Update on Markets

  • Sat Jan 14 2017
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  • Eddie Rocha

November Outlook – Trump, the Economy and Markets

Most investment professionals such as myself try to invest in assets (stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate) that are undervalued, and wait for them to get to fair to overvalued and then liquidate. The problem for us value/fundamental investors is that most stocks and markets are currently overvalued, and this market is in the late stages of this economic and market cycle.

  • Mon Dec 19 2016
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  • Eddie Rocha

July Economic Outlook

Major trends in the economy such as GDP, interest rates, CPI, retail sales, don’t change that much, especially month to month, but investment trends change much more often.

  • Sat Jul 23 2016
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  • Eddie Rocha

June Economic Outlook

U.S. economic growth slowing, normal behavior this late in the economic cycle.

  • Tue Jun 28 2016
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  • Zach Lopez

May Economic Outlook

At the beginning of the year economists and analysts were concerned about:

  • Fri Jun 03 2016
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  • Dan Hassey

April Economic Outlook

This month I will focus on this economic cycle, U.S. interest rates here, and the global trend of negative interest rates.

  • Sun May 01 2016
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  • Eddie Rocha

March Economic Outlook

  • Tue Apr 05 2016
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  • Zach Lopez

2016 Economic Outlook

Every year I do an economic and market forecast for our subscribers. This exercise is like looking at the variables one needs to look at for a business: what is the outlook for growth, what is the inflation and interest rate picture, how are our trading partners doing, what are the potential risks?

  • Tue Mar 29 2016
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  • Dan Hassey